The Reform of the Global Financial Architecture: Toward a System that Delivers for the South

The Policy Center for the New South and the Atlantic Council Africa Center have jointly released a report on “The Reform of the Global Financial Architecture: Toward a System that Delivers for the South,” by Otaviano Canuto, Hafez Ghanem, Youssef El Jai, and Stéphane Le Bouder. This report issues specific and urgent calls for reform, including more representative global governance, increasing the World Bank’s operational and financial capacity, prioritizing programs that would integrate Africa into the global economy, connecting the continent’s critical infrastructure and trade routes, and increasing participation and collaboration with bilateral public and private lenders and investors, such as China, sovereign wealth funds, and multinationals. 2024 marks eighty years of the Bretton Woods system. It is crucial to implement extensive reforms and substantial policies to support African nations’ efforts and maximize their chances to unleash their immense economic potential. These recommendations presented during the 2024 IMF-World Bank Spring Meetings reflect the urgency of both operational and more inclusive reforms for the African continent.

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Building an Inclusive Recovery in Latin America and the Caribbean

The COVID-19 pandemic brought a halt to the expansion of Latin America’s middle class and pushed millions back into poverty. Reversing this pattern requires addressing the region’s vulnerability to economic shocks and strengthening countries’ resilience.

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The Middle-Income Trap

The “middle-income trap” has become a broad designation trying to capture the many cases of developing countries that succeeded in evolving from low- to middle-levels of per capita income, but then appeared to stall, losing momentum along the route toward the higher income levels of advanced economies. We need to approach middle-income countries as being in a complex transition phase between accumulation and innovation-based economies. Individual middle-income country experiences of falling into a “trap” may be approached as cases of lack of or failing performance in footing the bill in terms of appropriate policies and institutions.

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2 VIDEOS – Latin America and the multilateral world + Macroeconomic Policies in times of COVID-19 in Emerging Markets: Early Lessons

Latin America and the multilateral world — Otaviano Canuto Today's episode with Otaviano Canuto (ex World Bank, IMF, IDB) covers the current state of the region's economy, the role of multilateral organizations, Brazil's economic prospects and the post-COVID scenario for Latin America. ------------------- Macroeconomic Policies in times of COVID-19 in Emerging Markets: Early Lessons Moderator: Andrés Schipani, East and Central Africa Correspondent, Financial Times Speakers: - Otaviano Canuto, Senior Fellow, Policy Center for the New South - Karim El Aynaoui, President, Policy Center for the New South, Dean, Faculty of Governance, Economics and Social Sciences, Mohammed VI Polytechnic University - Célestin Monga, Professor of Public Policy, Harvard Kennedy School

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Middle-income countries should not be rushed to graduate

Many donor countries seem eager to see middle-income countries “master out” and graduate to a non-client status in multilateral development institutions before fully achieving their development potential. We argue that such institutions can still significantly contribute to the sustainable development of Middle Income Countries, while also seizing many benefits from this relationship

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PODCAST Who do the IMF and World Bank really serve?

How the IMF and World Bank came into existence, why they are needed, what were the problems these institutions were designed to fix? So why has it seemed that, in recent decades, these institutions have become more concerned with promoting capital account liberalization more so than anything else? A case could be made that some of the prescriptions of the IMF and World Bank may not actually improve the economic prospects of the countries they engage with. What is your take on their effectiveness? Can the IMF do a better job of perhaps staying away or “doing no harm” by choosing not to lend to countries who are insolvent, or are there actually things that they can do to help? So, could these institutions use a healthy dose of not only educational diversity, but also geographical diversity in its leadership and staff? Is there a world where we shift away from austerity being a condition for lending, or is the IMF so concerned about getting its money back—and a decent return—that they feel they have to impose these measures so they can appease the US and other member countries that hold large voting blocs? If the IMF and World Bank are to be truly international institutions, with input from all of its member countries, doesn’t the voting structure have to change, and isn’t the current voting framework quite different from how it was when the IMF and World Bank were created? So, what are some things they should be proud of, and what do you believe should be the role of the IMF and World Bank in the 21st century?

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Read more about the article Don’t Expect Miracles From the Multilaterals
A pedestrian wearing a protective mask walks past the International Monetary Fund (IMF) headquarters in Washington, D.C., U.S., on Tuesday, April 14, 2020. In its first World Economic Outlook report since the spread of the coronavirus and subsequent freezing of major economies, the IMF estimated today that global gross domestic product will shrink 3% this year. Photographer: Andrew Harrer/Bloomberg

Don’t Expect Miracles From the Multilaterals

With Latin America and the Caribbean potentially facing years of difficulties due to the pandemic and related economic crises, attention has shifted to what multilateral institutions like the International Monetary Fund (IMF) might do to help. There’s no doubt they can play a crucial role in preventing another lost decade in the region. But these institutions will also face limitations because of capital constraints and other factors. 

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Read more about the article WEBCAST: Disaster Recovery: The Future of Multilaterals in Latin America
US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo (C) sits with Organization of American States Secretary General Luis Almagro (L) and Minister-Counselor Riyad Insanally, at the OAS during a gathering of the representatives in Washington, DC on January 17, 2020. (Photo by ANDREW CABALLERO-REYNOLDS / AFP) (Photo by ANDREW CABALLERO-REYNOLDS/AFP via Getty Images)

WEBCAST: Disaster Recovery: The Future of Multilaterals in Latin America

How will organizations such as the IDB, IMF, and OAS help Latin America emerge from the wreckage of COVID-19? What kind of support and cross-border leadership is crucial to ensure the region doesn’t endure another “lost decade”?

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Nouveaux défis pour les institutions de Bretton Woods

Au cours de leurs 75 années d’existence, les institutions nées à Bretton Woods, que l’on appelle souvent les soeurs jumelles de Bretton Woods, se sont transformées, pour répondre à l’évolution de l’économie mondiale et aux défis que celle-ci a posés. Plus récemment, trois changements dans l'ordre international ont apporté une nouvelle série de défis: l'émergence de nouveaux pôles géo-économiques; la prédominance des politiques nationalistes par rapport au multilatéralisme; et la fragmentation du système des institutions plurinationales.

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Natural wealth and economic growth – the case of sub-Saharan Africa

This note approaches the relationship between natural wealth and economic growth, using the case of Sub-Sahara African economies as an illustration. Delving into recent World Bank reports, it highlights how a sustained positive correlation between natural capital and GDP growth happens through the transformation of the former into other forms of assets: produced capital, human capital and other intangible assets. Governance features and the quality of macroeconomic policies are of the essence for such a benign trajectory to take place.

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Read more about the article China’s Rebalancing Act is Slowly Addressing Sliding Growth Figures
SAO PAULO, SP, BRASIL, 22-11-2016: Entrevista com Otaviano Canuto, diretor do Banco Mundial (Foto: Fabio Braga/Folhapress, MERCADO)***EXCLUSIVO***.

China’s Rebalancing Act is Slowly Addressing Sliding Growth Figures

  Capital Finance International (Spring, 2019) China’s economic growth has been sliding since 2011, while its economic structure has gradually rebalanced toward lower dependence on investments and current-account surpluses. Steadiness…

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New Challenges Faced by the Bretton Woods Institutions

In their 75 years of existence, the twin institutions born at the Bretton Woods Conference have undergone adaptation and transformation in response to the evolution of the world economy and the challenges it has posed to them. They will have to mutate and adapt to operate in a context of institutional fragmentation and possible arm-breaks between shareholders/members to continue fulfilling their missions.

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China’s Growth Rebalance with Downslide

China’s economic growth has been in a downslide trend since 2011, while its economic structure has gradually rebalanced toward lower dependence on investments and current-account surpluses. Steadiness in that trajectory has been accompanied by rising levels of domestic private debt, as well as slow progress in rebalancing private and public sector roles. As the ongoing trade war with the US continues to unfold, it remains unclear at which growth pace China’s rebalancing will tend to settle.

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